Friday 26 June 2015

The Labour Party Leadership Contest and the Future of Labour

The Labour Leadership Contest and the Future of Labour

It was a surreal experience.  I was waiting to board my flight to Dublin from Bristol Airport.  As I stood facing a small group of stag night lads dressed in drag my fiancé Anna kept feeding me the results of the UK General Election 2015 as they came in.  The prognosis wasn’t good but at that time the Conservatives did not have a controlling majority.  By the time we landed in Dublin they had.  The holocaust of Lib Dem MPs included many familiar faces from my time canvassing and attending Lib Dem conferences.  Even the hardworking constituency Steve Webb was chucked out of Thornbury for some young faced cookie cutter self-made businessman Tory.  I still remember the sheepish look on Steve’s face when after he accidentally stood in some drying concrete on the front patio of a person’s door he was about to knock on.  The person wasn’t happy but he at least resisted the urge to have a go at Steve or report this anecdote to some Fleet Street rag like The Sun.  Very swiftly after the results came the stream of resignations.  Lib Dem Nick Clegg, seemingly suffering from the curse of immortality having kept his seat against the odds, fell on his sword.  UKIP leader Nigel Farage resigned allegedly honouring an earlier pledge he made, only to apparently have his resign bounce like a bad cheque off the UKIP Executive.  And then there was the long suffering Ed Miliband who in a pretty moving and humble speech also stepped down.  I couldn’t help thinking that poor old Ed took it all a bit too hard on the chin in owning all of the responsibility for Labour’s defeat.  To be sure the buck has to stop at the leader, but the Labour Party is by no means a one man band and as such the responsibility for the defeat should be collectively shared.  After all it’s not UKIP.

I am a long suffering Lib Dem supporter and as such I am fully used to the knives coming out to stab the former leader when the carcass of their leadership is barely cold on the slab, but even I was amazed by the brazenness of the Night of the Long Knives that followed Ed’s fall.  Many of the leadership candidates didn’t wait long till the “I told you so” quotes started to come out, most notably from the front runners in the Labour leadership.  Their reaction to the inevitable ‘why the bloody hell didn’t you say or do anything if it was so obvious you would lose oh oracle?’ is followed by the inevitable protestations about having to maintain party unity.  OK, there is some truth to this.  To be frank the public are as brutal as they are hypocritical on this point.  I would personally argue that truth should trump consistency, but sadly I cannot speak for all voters.  But arguably sooner or later those leadership candidates who were close to Miliband or even worse closer to Brown will have to answer some difficult questions, more on this later.  The rest of this article will be about first of all assessing the Labour leadership candidates, their policy points and how desirable I see them as future party leaders and possibly future PMs.  The last part will be a general assessment of where the Labour Party should go from here in my opinion.

Andy Burnham seems to hail from a notably Old Labour tradition.  Much of his background is from the Trade Unions and he comes from a working class family in the Labour heartlands of Liverpool.  Burnham is also one of the most experienced candidates in terms of work in government as a former Health Minister.  It should be noted though that his Ministerial tenure has notable skeletons in it’s closets.  For one under Burnham’s tenure the Mid Staffordshire Hospital scandal broke out, which he responded with a closed government inquiry.  Pushing for a full public inquiry later on is likely one of David Cameron’s good ideas, a very rare example to be sure.  How much Burnham can be blamed for the scandal itself is limited to be sure, but the handling of such scandals has a tendency to make people measure someone up as a leader.  What is also notable is that during his tenure Labour pressed on with it’s Public Finance Initiative’s (PFIs) which are basically private contracts for specific jobs within the NHS.  Recent Tory reforms have generated a lot of public wariness about such limited privatisation initiatives.  Not only has PFI schemes in the NHS displayed varying levels of effectiveness they have in many places not only warped accountability but also lead to a lot of public money being spent, often with limited returns in value.  As for Burnham personally if I am honest I am as yet not particularly impressed by his recent media performances and statements.  To start with the positives he has in fairness raised the concept of spreading economic reform outside of London to the ‘regions’.  The only problem I have with that is that ‘regions’ often turns into just taking care of certain hyped cities or regions in the north (yes I am looking at you Manchester) that are regularly mentioned in the media or to one of the devolved nations.  Meanwhile the west country gets ignored while in the wake of the Lib Dem collapse it’s council and MP seats get colonised by the Tories for the long haul.  To be sure the north in many places needs a lot of attention, but not at the expense of other places.  I did appreciate his mention of rent to buy schemes which are basically initiatives where renters can eventually buy their homes.  Such support for these schemes is well overdue from politicians who are continuously obsessed with those of us who are trying to get mortgages.  Meanwhile those of us for whom getting a mortgage is a long way off we feel shunned like an ugly sister left in the shade.  Picking up on the whole northern angle Burnham does unfortunately have a cringeworthy way of displaying himself as an everyman northerner who “goes to the pub”.  Alright Burnham good for you.  But here is the thing, I don’t give a damn.  I wouldn’t care if you went home and donned your pipe, dressing gown and slippers and went to bed at 8pm.  If you had some ideas worth mentioning and you seem to be a well balanced leader, you could be a spotty and overweight stereotype of a comic book nerd for all I care.  I am sick to my back teeth of politicians acting like they are ‘normal’.  This is mostly in reaction to comments made by the public, so their response is to act like they are someone they are not.  My response in his position would be to say “yeah I am a strange guy, deal with it.”  Rant over.  So far so bland for Burnham.  My main concern is unsubtle whispers from Unite’s General Secretary Len McCluskey that indicate that Burnham is the ‘right’ leader of the Labour Party.  With respect to Len he should shut up or he will give another excuse for Cameron to rant on about McCluskey being the puppet master of the Labour Party.  If elected Burnham will have to prove he is his own man, and once or twice that may involve telling old Len a few things he does not want to here.

What can one say about Yvette Cooper?  Well for one she has a fair amount of experience in cabinet and shadow cabinet, but to my mind no notable achievements to credit her with.  She has kept up sniping fire on Home Secretary Theresa May, but considering how incompetent she has been in her portfolio that looks like fish in a barrel to me.  If it wasn’t for Cameron’s obstinate, at times frankly arrogant and stupid, tendency to hang on to his ministers no matter how much trouble they cause May would have left long ago.  For another Yvette Cooper is a woman.  Surprised?  No, me neither.  But for some reason she saw fit to mention this during a leaders debate when asked to make her pitch for the top job.  To my mind this was a very ill judged move since she is not the only woman running, and her rival seems to have a more compelling case than she does.  Yvette recently made the case that Labour has to be more “pro business”.  Be that as it may she in a classic Yvette Cooper way made the pitch in such a way as though she had been a pro business underdog all along, something her record doesn’t back up.  While she is not as bullish as her husband Ed Balls she has a tendency to all too often to display the self-important, vindictive and hypocritical side of Labour.  In debates on the programme Question Time she displays a remarkable tendency to answer questions without answering them at all, but seems content to stick a few customary barbs at the Tories anyway.  This is the Punch and Judy politics that is making people do stupid things like not vote or vote UKIP, simply put I want to see such cheap politics punished severely.  The thing is half the time these dirty tactics boomerang right back at her.  Take for example the claim she made that some of her rivals had “swallowed” the Tory manifesto too much.  She never claimed who had done this but everyone knew it was directed at Liz Kendall.  Demonising the Tories without direct policy arguments being used didn’t work before, why does she think this will demolish Liz’s campaign?  If anything it will elicit more interest in her campaign.  Overall Yvette has done nothing to make me shake my old suspicions of her.  I may be being hard on her, but I wish she would give me a reason not to be.

The wild card in the deck of candidates is of course Jeremy Corbyn.  Corbyn is a dying breed in the Labour Party who a part of me can’t help but root for.  It is remarkable how old Labour warhorses like him still have their seats.  That they still have them seems to be among many things due to the strong and honest convictions they have and their dedication to their constituency.  During the awful election of 2015 Old Labour MP Dennis Skinner aka the Beast of Bolsover increased his majority by 20%.  Such figures are a call back to Tony Benn a man, and I say this as someone who isn’t a socialist, who I believe could have made socialism work.  Corbyn seems to go through the usual Old Labour tickboxes.  He is a member of Stop the War, is in favour of nationalising the banks and is thoroughly against austerity.  But one of the things I first noticed about him is the directness of his delivery.  He has a rare and refreshing sense of no nonsense about him which I and I imagine a lot of other people admire in a politician.  And yet people like Corbyn seem frozen in time.  It is almost as though him and his late friend Tony Benn went to sleep in the 80s and didn’t witness their leader Michael Foot going down in flames.  Don’t get me wrong I do not fully trust the Blairites for falling into line with Thatcher’s legacy just a little too readily.  But when I hear people like Corbyn speak I get the unmistakable feeling that a part of him or perhaps all of him respects ideological purity over truth.  One example of this is a video I saw in which Corbyn gave a speech to the Anti War movement.  In the video he described the terrorist groups Hamas and Hezbollah as “social reformers.”  I think in the end Corbyn is better served either in the cabinet as a balance against the Blairites or within the party as a backbencher doing the same thing.  Either way it seems to be a shame to allow an honest and hardworking  if misguided soul like Corbyn be ignored.

The last candidate is also the most controversial; Liz Kendall.  Now I have had my eye on Liz for some time.  Usually the Labour Party send some hack on Question Time like Rachel Reeves or, even higher on the hack-metre, Yvette Cooper.  But now and then Liz has made an appearance on the show and what I have seen of her impressed me.  For the most part she nailed questions instead of tip toeing around them with fluffy and meaningless rhetoric like Cooper.  She also subtly but firmly puts down Dimblebys’ casual sexism as well as that by occasional sexist Cabinet Ministers, such as Hammond who insisted on calling her ‘Rachel’.  In any case starting as she has mean’t to carry on Liz has not minced her words when talking about Labour’s defeat calling it a !catastrophe”, which it bloody was.  Cooper et al by contrast seem to show a faded disappointment like they have just missed a bus or a train.  The programme that Liz seems to be outlined looks notably Blairite, that is very centist.  Free schools are here to stay she says.  Some cuts will have to be accepted she says, which while I partly agree with her on this I am still a bit nervous about whether she and I see eye to eye on where they should fall.  For instance not many political figures have had the courage to call for state pensions and associated benefits to be reformed and means tested, for fear of losing the grey vote.  Her approach instinctively tries to woo the soft UKIP and Tory voters an general undecided who for the most part went to the latter during the election.  To my mind going after the latter two is a lot more important than going after the former since I sense UKIP will collapse into factional bickering soon after they have lost an EU referendum which will take place before the 2020 election.  Who knows maybe the refugees from that disaster will drift to the Tories and reopen wounds that have not healed since the Maastricht Treaty?  One can dream.  Speaking of Europe Liz seems to be wanting to play an intriguing game of harrying on the Tories to get a solid deal before any referendum.  Such a move may increase pressure between the Tory cabinet and back benches, but it does beg the question how this would ultimately effect Labour’s positioning with regards to the EU referendum (ie would a weak deal lead to Labour campaigning for ‘No’?)  I still need a lot of clarity on Liz’s plans before she gets my endorsement (which I am sure is very sought after by her).  She recently seems to have shored up her left flank by pushing for the minimum wage to be raised to the liveable wage, which is long overdue in my perspective.  She has also specifically pledged to overturn any anti union laws that the Tories introduce, which in these days of electoral revenge in the face of broken pledges won’t be easy to back down from.  She also backs keeping Defence spending at 2% of GDP which I thoroughly agree with, although I would prefer more tough talk on Russia and IS.  You may gather from this that my instincts are leaning towards Liz as my candidate.  Things may turn out that way, but whoever takes over the leadership of the Labour Party has big shoes to fill.

I remember watching the TV when the results came in back in 1997.  I was too young to understand the implications of the win, but I got caught up in the excitement bordering on ecstasy all the same.  What happened since then?  PFI contracts.  Two shags Prescott.  Millennium Dome fiasco.  Mandelson Scandals.  Cash for honours.  Greasing Bernie Eccleston’s palm. Detention without trial.  Torture Flights.  Record spending.  Hubristic boasting about curing capitalism from it’s ills.  And then there was the Iraq War, which with me the jury is still out.  But alongside this we have the many good elements of those 13 years including the Good Friday Agreement, stopping ethnic cleansing in the former Yugoslavia, the minimum wage and support for former nurses going back to work.  To be sure memories of New Labour are mixed at best so the question remains if we go back it’s legacy as Liz Kendall seems to be leaning towards, what should we take away from it?  More importantly what should we leave behind in the past? To my mind the Labour Party while keeping it’s eye on the centre ground needs to look back on it’s past with more pride, not embarrassment.  Too many times I have talked to Blairites who talk about the Corbyn’s of this world like they are their drunk uncle’s who one can find lurking at the back of the room during a wedding.  Like it or not they allowed Labour to get where it is and it’s identity today does owe something to them, even if their stake on it is more tenuous than it used to be.  While I recognise New Labour/Blairism’s advantages I am worried that it’s most devoted followers are not aware or willfully ignorant of it’s limits.  PFI schemes in particular are starting to look more like an embarrassing legacy.  Sooner or later too there will have to be a reckoning between Labour and it’s earlier worshiping for the money lenders in the temple of the City of London.  Holding those vested interests to account is not the same as advocating socialism and Blairites should not run away from tough but constructive regulation for fear of scaring away a few voters here and there to the Tories.  Our economy cannot indefinitely rely on this one lucrative though fragile sector, the reckoning needs to be faced and not postponed again.  It is not enough for the followers of New Labour to think they can mimic Tory policies indefinitely.  Sooner or later genuine innovation will have to take hold and the private sector won't hold all of the answers.


As for me I have a big decision to make.  Do I stick with the shattered remains of the Lib Dems or do I cross the aisle to the Labour Party?  This is not an easy decision for me.  I have invested a lot of time with the Lib Dems, and met a lot of good people who I cannot bring myself to think ill of.  Despite the smearing (and it is for the most part smearing) by Labour and other people with an axe to grind against the Lib Dems after the coalition, I still believe they went into this arrangement for the most part with the best of intentions.  Being incredibly naïve is not the same as wanting to cause harm and this view of mine won’t change regardless of the outcome of my decision regarding my political allegiance.  On the other hand I can’t ignore that the Lib Dems have been hit hard and won’t be back on it’s feet for many years if at all.  That is too long for the people who will be effected by the policies of this government.  I feel a need to be in the main fight and not knipping at the heals.  I have no illusions about Labour’s faults.  The party is far too arrogant, centralised and machine like  by far.  It is too willing to trade off precious civil liberties for the cause of security.  The recent clampdown on peaceful protesting started under Blair and has got worse under the Tories.  And yet I feel like after many things my party supported in the coalition a need to atone for hardship caused by among other things this ill conceived and unethical crusade known as welfare reform under Ian Duncan Smith.  Something will have to give.  I will make this decision with a heavy heart shortly.

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